Waching daily Jan 10 2018

Fourth, we must all be patient and weigh our reactions:

nobody should rush into analysis, understanding of (global events), positions to take,

nor the measures and plans of action, with the exception of those that maintain peace and security in the country,

because what is required first is to understand the reason (of this resignation).

So far, up to now, we are in contact with everyone,

and we listen and gather information, we consult, and so far from what I know,

in Lebanon no one has understood the real reason for the resignation.

Everyone in Lebanon is surprised by the resignation and did not understand its real reason.

Understanding the real reason is the key to the proper reaction to this development and to the steps that will follow.

That is to say:

For example, was the forced resignation of the head of government caused by reasons internal to Lebanon? In all certainty, no.

And I consider that the Lebanese are unanimous on this point.

The man did not want to resign, it went well, he spoke and exchanged with everyone, met everyone...

He was active and had a positive role in both government meetings and ministerial committees.

So there was no inside reason (in Lebanon) calling for the resignation.

Some people in Lebanon, to settle small and petty accounts,

will tell you that the head of government was upset by this or that party, this or that minister, this particular official...

This does not constitute a reason to resign.

These are just a settling of (intra-Lebanese) scores.

There is no internal reason to resign.

We must find the reason in Saudi Arabia.

Well, then consider Saudi Arabia, and what might be the reason (of the resignation) from there.

Is it an internal struggle in Saudi Arabia

between princes, a struggle for the throne between the crown prince and (other) children in the (Saud) family?

Is it a struggle between (different) political lines?

Is it a financial struggle?

Is it to get its hands on the wealth of so and so amounting to hundreds of billions of dollars

orso-and-so amounting to tens of billions of dollars from the son of the ruling family, as is happening now?

Is (the resignation) related to the internal struggle between the princes, and therefore, Prime Minister Saad Hariri

was let go in the melee?

Is it why he had to report to such and such a prince, to a particular line?

It's a legitimate question.

Or maybe the reason has nothing to do with the internal struggles (in Saudi Arabia)

but is due to the fact that Saudi Arabia is not satisfied by the behavior and policy of Saad Hariri

and wants to replace him with a Prime Minister who considers himself a hawk (more aggressive)

that will be commited to the Saudi policy more closely and will take the country where (the Kingdom) wants to lead it?

It is also a (legitimate) question.

This may be the reason (of the resignation).

Or maybe the reason is that Saudi Arabia has a plan to attack Lebanon,

because it spoke of Hezbollah, Iran, (increasing) Iranian influence and the Iran-Saudi struggle.

And it would therefore be a first step announcing a great battle (to come).

To answer these questions, we must wait to see what it is and know the real reason

that brought Saudi Arabia to impose on the head of the government to resign.

And that's why it took place in this way.

And in addition to this form - for indeed, today, when certain information, analysis

or rumors in Lebanon speak of the person of Saad Hariri, worrying about his fate (where is he now, is there under house arrest,

is he imprisoned), these are legitimate questions. Can he return to Lebanon, is he allowed to do so?

These are perfectly legitimate questions, because this is not a Lebanese exaggeration.

Because when you hear the news that Prince Mut'eb b. Abdullah b. Abdelaziz, son of the previous king,

and Turki b. Abdullah, also the son of the King Abdullah I think,

and Walid b. Talal b. Abdulaziz, the Minister of previous guards, constituting a considerable army in Saudi Arabia,

the great princes of the royal family, the most prominent son and grand-son of the Kings who had the highest responsibilities within the Kingdom,

and have networks and huge fortunes,

when such persons are thrown in jail, it is our right to worry and say "O my brother, let us see our prime minister who resigned, where is he, what is his fate?"

This concern is perfectly legitimate to me.

And that is why we must find the real reason, because this is clearly a Saudi initiative,

a Saudi measure, but in what framework was this measure taken?

Is it to replace the Prime minister?

Is it to bring down the government and prevent a government being formed in Lebanon?

Is it hitting the stability and security of Lebanon? Is it to launch a war

such as Saudi Arabia triggered in Yemen and elsewhere, and supported in Syria and Iraq?

In what context (does this resignation fit)?

Is it in the framework of personal struggles, and therefore unrelated to Lebanon, the Lebanese government or government policies and practices of Prime Minister Hariri,

and only due to internal problems in Saudi Arabia?

All this, if the Lebanese manage to understand it in the coming days, I think it will help us to determine how to respond to the next step.

Based on everything I just mentioned...

Based on everything I just mentioned, we in Hezbollah call for the following:

First, to stay calm,

to patience and moderation, until the picture becomes clearer, until the situation becomes clearer and the real reasons are revealed.

And therefore, we must not rush to the (false) rumors, analysis, intimidation and slogans, and I will comment on a few shortly, only two.

That's the first point.

Second, we in Hezbollah confirm our primary commitment to the security, stability and civil peace in Lebanon.

I call on all Lebanese not to worry, not to be afraid.

There is nothing that justifies anxiety.

At least on our part. If anyone thinks that what Saudi Arabia is going to do or say, or what she did or said,

will take us to a virulent reaction, or bitter, virulent actions, he is dead wrong.

We will behave with full national responsibility and with the utmost calm, and we call on everyone to stay calm,

and to act for the preservation of what is the dearest to us today in Lebanon, namely security, stability and civil peace in the country,

in a region (the Middle East) to fire and sword, as you see, and that lives many political and security crises.

I therefore add my voice to all the voices, and I say to the Lebanese and to all who are in Lebanon:

stay calm and moderate, see how to respond to this question in a reasonable and prudent manner, balanced and responsible.

We are a country, we have a State (apparatus) and institutions, a constitution and constitutional bodies,

officers and judges in the country, and for sure we can overcome this ordeal.